Pre-data insights update priors via Bayes’s theorem | Statistical Inference to the Best Explanation of the Evidence

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Pre-data insights update priors via Bayes’s theorem

1 September 2018 DRB

D. R. Bickel, “Bayesian revision of a prior given prior-data conflict, expert opinion, or a similar insight: A large-deviation approach,” Statistics 52, 552-570 (2018). Full text | 2015 preprint | Simple explanation

Categories: fiducial inference, maximum entropy, model checking, publications, simply explained, statistical evidence

“The Fiducialist Papers” archived in favor of “sIBEe” How to adjust statistical inferences for the simplicity of distributions